Showing posts with label China. Show all posts
Showing posts with label China. Show all posts

Saturday, April 27, 2013

Jim Chanos: China: The Edifice Complex - Wine Country Conference Presentation

Jim Chanos’ speech, “China: The Edifice Complex“, is available at Wine Country Conference Speaker Presentations.


Click on the link and scroll down to find the correct video. Allow 45 minutes or so for viewing.


The videos are the actual presentations, and we are making a couple of them available each week for three weeks.


John Hussman’s presentation “An Unstable Equilibrium” was posted last week.
My Presentation “A Brief Lesson in History” is also available as are my “Opening Remarks“.


Speaker presentation material, Yahoo! Finance media interviews, and associated articles on Advisor Perspectives are now available online at Wine Country Conference Speaker Slides.


If you enjoy the videos and slides please consider making a Donation to the Les Turner ALS Foundation. Specify “Mish Campaign” on the donation to earmark funds for research.


All told, we raised nearly $ 500,000 for ALS research, subject to final audit. $ 100,000 of that came from a very generous matching donation from the Hussman Foundation.


Thanks again for a successful 2013 WCC and we look forward to many more! The 2014 conference will raise money for autism research and programs.


Mike “Mish” Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com


Mish’s Global Economic Trend Analysis



Jim Chanos: China: The Edifice Complex - Wine Country Conference Presentation

Jim Chanos: China: The Edifice Complex - Wine Country Conference Presentation

Jim Chanos’ speech, “China: The Edifice Complex“, is available at Wine Country Conference Speaker Presentations.


Click on the link and scroll down to find the correct video. Allow 45 minutes or so for viewing.


The videos are the actual presentations, and we are making a couple of them available each week for three weeks.


John Hussman’s presentation “An Unstable Equilibrium” was posted last week.
My Presentation “A Brief Lesson in History” is also available as are my “Opening Remarks“.


Speaker presentation material, Yahoo! Finance media interviews, and associated articles on Advisor Perspectives are now available online at Wine Country Conference Speaker Slides.


If you enjoy the videos and slides please consider making a Donation to the Les Turner ALS Foundation. Specify “Mish Campaign” on the donation to earmark funds for research.


All told, we raised nearly $ 500,000 for ALS research, subject to final audit. $ 100,000 of that came from a very generous matching donation from the Hussman Foundation.


Thanks again for a successful 2013 WCC and we look forward to many more! The 2014 conference will raise money for autism research and programs.


Mike “Mish” Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com


Mish’s Global Economic Trend Analysis



Jim Chanos: China: The Edifice Complex - Wine Country Conference Presentation

Friday, April 26, 2013

Jim Chanos: China: The Edifice Complex - Wine Country Conference Presentation

Jim Chanos’ speech, “China: The Edifice Complex“, is available at Wine Country Conference Speaker Presentations.


Click on the link and scroll down to find the correct video. Allow 45 minutes or so for viewing.


The videos are the actual presentations, and we are making a couple of them available each week for three weeks.


John Hussman’s presentation “An Unstable Equilibrium” was posted last week.
My Presentation “A Brief Lesson in History” is also available as are my “Opening Remarks“.


Speaker presentation material, Yahoo! Finance media interviews, and associated articles on Advisor Perspectives are now available online at Wine Country Conference Speaker Slides.


If you enjoy the videos and slides please consider making a Donation to the Les Turner ALS Foundation. Specify “Mish Campaign” on the donation to earmark funds for research.


All told, we raised nearly $ 500,000 for ALS research, subject to final audit. $ 100,000 of that came from a very generous matching donation from the Hussman Foundation.


Thanks again for a successful 2013 WCC and we look forward to many more! The 2014 conference will raise money for autism research and programs.


Mike “Mish” Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com


Mish’s Global Economic Trend Analysis



Jim Chanos: China: The Edifice Complex - Wine Country Conference Presentation

Jim Chanos: China: The Edifice Complex - Wine Country Conference Presentation

Jim Chanos’ speech, “China: The Edifice Complex“, is available at Wine Country Conference Speaker Presentations.


Click on the link and scroll down to find the correct video. Allow 45 minutes or so for viewing.


The videos are the actual presentations, and we are making a couple of them available each week for three weeks.


John Hussman’s presentation “An Unstable Equilibrium” was posted last week.
My Presentation “A Brief Lesson in History” is also available as are my “Opening Remarks“.


Speaker presentation material, Yahoo! Finance media interviews, and associated articles on Advisor Perspectives are now available online at Wine Country Conference Speaker Slides.


If you enjoy the videos and slides please consider making a Donation to the Les Turner ALS Foundation. Specify “Mish Campaign” on the donation to earmark funds for research.


All told, we raised nearly $ 500,000 for ALS research, subject to final audit. $ 100,000 of that came from a very generous matching donation from the Hussman Foundation.


Thanks again for a successful 2013 WCC and we look forward to many more! The 2014 conference will raise money for autism research and programs.


Mike “Mish” Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com


Mish’s Global Economic Trend Analysis



Jim Chanos: China: The Edifice Complex - Wine Country Conference Presentation

Tuesday, April 23, 2013

China PMI barely Above Contraction; Chinese Stocks Slump as Manufacturing Slows

Bloomberg reports Chinese Stocks Slump Most in Three Weeks as Manufacturing Slows

China’s stocks fell, dragging the benchmark index down the most in three weeks, as data showed the country’s manufacturing growing at a slower pace.

The Shanghai Composite has slumped 9.7 percent from a Feb. 6 high, on concern slowing growth will hurt earnings. China’s economy expanded 7.7 percent in the first quarter, missing estimates, as industrial production and fixed-asset investments in March fell short of forecasts. Rising Chinese home prices may limit scope for stimulus as President Xi Jinping seeks to prevent a real-estate bubble.


“This has been a very narrowly based recovery, predominantly driven by infrastructure investment, but now even infrastructure investment is also apparently slowing down,” said Tao Dong, head of Asia economics excluding Japan at Credit Suisse Group AG in Hong Kong.


China PMI barely Above Contraction


As I have said on numerous occasions, China’s infrastructure build-out is both ridiculous and unsustainable. Yet that does not stop for one second the cheerleading.


For example please consider the Markit report headline for China Manufacturing that shows Operating conditions improve marginally in April



It is really tough to spin that stagnation, assuming you even believe it (I don’t), into something positive. Hongbin Qu, Chief Economist, China & Co-Head of Asian Economic Research at HSBC managed to do just that.


Qu stated “The HSBC Flash China Manufacturing PMI came in at a two-month low, but still managed to expand modestly in April, albeit at a much slower pace. However, new export orders contracted after a temporary rebound in March, suggesting external demand for China’s exporters remains weak. Weaker overall demand has also started to weigh on employment in the manufacturing sector. Beijing is expected to respond strongly to sustain the economic recovery by increasing efforts to boost domestic investment and consumption in the coming months.”


Really?


50.5 is “modest expansion”?! Would 49.5 have been “modest contraction?”


Let’s at least be honest about this. At best China is stagnating and this is in spite of an unwarranted and unsustainable infrastructure build-out.


Mike “Mish” Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com


Mish’s Global Economic Trend Analysis



China PMI barely Above Contraction; Chinese Stocks Slump as Manufacturing Slows

China PMI barely Above Contraction; Chinese Stocks Slump as Manufacturing Slows

Bloomberg reports Chinese Stocks Slump Most in Three Weeks as Manufacturing Slows

China’s stocks fell, dragging the benchmark index down the most in three weeks, as data showed the country’s manufacturing growing at a slower pace.

The Shanghai Composite has slumped 9.7 percent from a Feb. 6 high, on concern slowing growth will hurt earnings. China’s economy expanded 7.7 percent in the first quarter, missing estimates, as industrial production and fixed-asset investments in March fell short of forecasts. Rising Chinese home prices may limit scope for stimulus as President Xi Jinping seeks to prevent a real-estate bubble.


“This has been a very narrowly based recovery, predominantly driven by infrastructure investment, but now even infrastructure investment is also apparently slowing down,” said Tao Dong, head of Asia economics excluding Japan at Credit Suisse Group AG in Hong Kong.


China PMI barely Above Contraction


As I have said on numerous occasions, China’s infrastructure build-out is both ridiculous and unsustainable. Yet that does not stop for one second the cheerleading.


For example please consider the Markit report headline for China Manufacturing that shows Operating conditions improve marginally in April



It is really tough to spin that stagnation, assuming you even believe it (I don’t), into something positive. Hongbin Qu, Chief Economist, China & Co-Head of Asian Economic Research at HSBC managed to do just that.


Qu stated “The HSBC Flash China Manufacturing PMI came in at a two-month low, but still managed to expand modestly in April, albeit at a much slower pace. However, new export orders contracted after a temporary rebound in March, suggesting external demand for China’s exporters remains weak. Weaker overall demand has also started to weigh on employment in the manufacturing sector. Beijing is expected to respond strongly to sustain the economic recovery by increasing efforts to boost domestic investment and consumption in the coming months.”


Really?


50.5 is “modest expansion”?! Would 49.5 have been “modest contraction?”


Let’s at least be honest about this. At best China is stagnating and this is in spite of an unwarranted and unsustainable infrastructure build-out.


Mike “Mish” Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com


Mish’s Global Economic Trend Analysis



China PMI barely Above Contraction; Chinese Stocks Slump as Manufacturing Slows

Wednesday, April 10, 2013

YUM Plunges After-Hours On "Shocking" China KFC Miss


Just as we warned, the avian flu in China has had a very significant impact on its KFC chain


  • *YUM BRANDS MARCH COMP SALES DOWN 13% FOR CHINA UNIT     :YUM US

  • *YUM BRANDS: MARCH SAME-STORE SALES DOWN 16% AT KFC CHINA

It seems slashing prices did not do the trick – though we are sure this strain of the deadly virus is just a ‘storm in a teacup’ buying opportunity.


 






    


Zero Hedge



YUM Plunges After-Hours On "Shocking" China KFC Miss

Tuesday, April 9, 2013

Michael Pettis Interview with Lauren Lyster: Decade of Slower Growth for China


Here is an interview of Michael Pettis by Lauren Lyster from the Wine Country Conference. Pettis says China faces a decade of slower growth.

“I don’t think it’s either averting a disaster or heading for one,” Pettis says. “What I think we’re going to have is a decade or more of much, much lower growth.”

According to Peter Schiff, CEO of Europacific Capital, there is “more capitalism in communist China than there is in America.”…


“It’s definitely not more capitalist than the U.S.,” Pettis says of China. “It’s quite tough to run a small business or any kind of business for a variety of reasons. The big saving grace of my club and CD label is that we don’t ever expect to be profitable. It’s easy to be successful if you don’t have to earn anything.”


Pollution in China is another concern we routinely hear about in Western media. A study from the Health Effects Institute, funded in part by the Environmental Protection Agency, found that Chinese pollution caused 1.2 million premature deaths in 2010, while the Financial Times reports “airpocalypse” has sent expats fleeing.


Pettis says getting rid of pollution is a political question that will require a significant portion of the urban middle class getting upset about it. He says in the last year, for the first time in the 11 years he’s been living in China, he’s seeing this type of substantial opposition in Beijing and Shanghai. Still, he notes, it’s likely to take many, many years to address the issue.


Click on the link at the top to see the complete video interview with Lauren Lyster. His session presentation was quite good. I will post that presentation when available.


Mike “Mish” Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com


Mish’s Global Economic Trend Analysis



Michael Pettis Interview with Lauren Lyster: Decade of Slower Growth for China

Monday, April 1, 2013

Apple apologises to China customers



A member of staff talks to customers at an Apple store in ChinaApple has 11 stores in mainland China


Apple boss Tim Cook has apologised to Chinese consumers after state media accused the firm of arrogance and greed and of “throwing its weight around”.


A two-week long Chinese media campaign had focused on Apple repair policies.


A statement on Apple’s China website said “misunderstandings” may have led to the perception “Apple’s attitude was arrogant” towards Chinese customers.


Mr Cook promised to improve the repair policy on the iPhone 4 and iPhone 4S, and to improve warranty information.


“We are aware that a lack of communications… led to the perception Apple’s attitude was arrogant and that we do not care and attach importance to consumer feedback,” Mr Cook wrote. “We express our sincere apologies for any concerns or misunderstandings this gave consumers.”


Apple said it would enhance communication with Chinese consumers and strengthen oversight of authorised resellers.


State broadcaster CCTV and the state’s flagship newspaper, People’s Daily, had portrayed Apple as the latest Western company to exploit Chinese citizens.


Last week the paper ran an editorial headlined: “Strike down Apple’s incomparable arrogance.”


China is Apple’s third largest market, with more than 17,000 outlets selling its products in mainland China, including 11 Apple stores and 400 premium resellers.


Earlier this year Mr Cook said he expected China to replace North America as its largest source of revenue.




BBC News – Business



Apple apologises to China customers

Friday, February 22, 2013

Chinese Cyberwarfare, Explained

On Monday, an American cybersecurity firm called Mandiant released a report accusing the Chinese government of systematically hacking into American computer networks and targeting state secrets, weapons programs, businesses, and even the nation’s gas pipelines. The New York Times vetted the story and concluded that a growing body of evidence “leaves little doubt” that these attacks are originating from a secret Chinese army base. Adam Segal, senior fellow for China studies at the Council on Foreign Relations (an organization that, in the past, has also been targeted by hackers that appeared to be China-based), tells Mother Jones that this “raises the pressure on the increasing drum beat on the US to do something.” 

So just how freaked out do you need to be? Here’s everything you need to know: 

How do cyberattacks and cyberwarfare work? A cyberattack is what happens when a hacker penetrates computers or networks for the purpose of maliciously exploiting systems and information. This can lead to identity theft, viruses, theft of intellectual property, or full-on system infiltration (i.e., the hacker can watch your every move). Cyberwarfare is what happens when countries are the ones employing those hackers, often with the goal of stealing state secrets and/or causing damage. 

The scheme that Chinese hackers employ to gain footholds on victims’ computers is known in computer-speak as spear phishing, according to Mandiant, and it’s a scam that’s been around for years. The sabotage begins when a victim receives an innocuous work-related email about a meeting or a project from what appears to be a colleague’s email address. If the target takes the bait, he or she will click on a hyperlink or download an attachment from the message. In some cases, suspicious recipients have responded to phishing emails with questions about the file’s authenticity. The Chinese hackers have responded: “It’s legit.” When the target downloads the files, they’ll be unwittingly installing remote-access software (sometimes referred to as a “backdoor”) that allows the hacker to assume control of the victim’s computer.

With a few lines of code, the hacker can install other backdoors and programs, upload and download files, capture screenshots of the user’s desktop, record keystrokes and passwords, and shut down the system. The sleuthing can last months or even years, and confidential and top-secret files can be easily transported from the network into the hacker’s hands.  Here’s a video showing an attack in progress: 

So what is this mysterious Unit 61398? Unit 61398 (or “61398部队”​ for the Mandarin speakers among you) is believed to be a top-secret unit of the Chinese government that “engages in harmful ‘Computer Network Operations,’” according to the Mandiant report. It’s located in a 12-story facility in Shanghai, and could have up to thousands of employees, most of whom are required to speak English, demonstrate computer security skills, and exhibit “team spirit.” Richard Bejtlich, the chief security officer at Mandiant, tells Mother Jones that the unit built new headquarters in 2007. Mandiant claims to have known about the unit for seven years, but it’s unclear exactly how long it has been around. D.B. Grady, a national security journalist and author, makes the case that “concerns over Unit 61398—a perfectly unnerving name—are no more worrisome than Chinese spies recruiting American agents to steal folders from locked filing cabinets.” He adds, “If the US government were really alarmed, we would be threatening to go to war. Instead, we’re threatening to give a lot of money to government contractors.”

Nevertheless, here are some infographics showing just how effective Unit 61398 is at getting on your computer, and staying there: 

​Who is the Chinese government hacking? The short answer: Your business, your water supply, your defense, your newspapers, and probably more. The longer answer: Since 2006, China’s espionage division has stolen data from at least 115 American businesses—and that’s only the hacking that Mandiant directly observed. The company believes that number represents only a small fraction of the China’s overall hacking activity. Not surprisingly, Chinese spies were most interested in hacking national-security-related industries such as aerospace, energy, scientific research and information technology. Here’s a chart showing the most-targeted industries (it only includes attacks Mandiant witnessed, and includes some that occurred outside the United States):

Mandiant

But even if you work for an alfalfa farm in Wyoming, hacking could still affect you: According to the New York Times, the hackers are interested in US critical infrastructure—electric grids, oil pipelines and water systems—and are attempting to unlock US military secrets by targeting defense contractors and weapons program (more on that later). Chinese hackers are also taking on media giants that produce journalism critical of China: the Times‘ computers were compromised recently after a high-profile investigation revealed that members of Chinese Prime Minister Wen Jiabao’s family had accumulated massive wealth from state contracts, and the Washington Post, Bloomberg News and the Wall Street Journal have also all been targeted. (Mother Jones liability note: China is great! 我们爱中国!)

Why is China hacking the United States?Segal, the Council on Foreign Relations expert, explains:

The Chinese want to move up the value chain. They want to move from “made in” to “innovated in China.” So part of it is stealing industrial secrets and helping Chinese companies. There’s [also] political and military espionage—having a better sense of what the US government and US opinion leaders and other people think about China and try to influence that, and wanting to steal US military secrets. It’s also a kind of deterrent. [It] sends a message to the US that the US homeland is vulnerable and if there was going to be a regional conflict that escalated, the US should know that the Chinese have a way of reaching out and touching us.

Another explanation? Chinese hackers just really wanted to access their social-media accounts, many of which are blocked on the mainland. Mandiant was able to trace some of the hackers’ identities because the “easiest way for them to log into Facebook and Twitter [was] directly from their attack infrastructure.” And as our colleague Josh Harkinson noted, at least one hacker appears to be “a fan of American and British pop culture”—he used Harry Potter references for his passwords. 

So…just how screwed are we? Both private US companies and government infrastructure are pretty bad at stopping hackers from beating down the door. Most private companies “aren’t in a position to defend themselves, and if you devote any length of time to break into one of these guys, you’re going to find a way in,” says Mandiant’s Bejtlich.

When it comes to government, the forecast isn’t much better: President Obama says that the “cyberthreat is one of the most serious economic and national security challenges we face as a nation.” Between 2007 and 2009, the head of the Pentagon’s Cyber Crime Center confirmed 102 instances in which hackers had infiltrated the networks of government agencies, military contractors, or other entities connected to the Department of Defense, according to a 2010 Forbes report. In 2007, the 10 largest defense contractors, including Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, Raytheon, and Boeing, all suffered security breaches that traced back to China. CFR’s Segal says that even though cyber attacks aren’t new, “on the defense side, we haven’t had too much success” defending against them. 

But experts don’t necessarily say that means the United States is screwed. Segal says that US-China relations would have to “already be very, very bad or very, very close to military conflict anyway for the Chinese to consider a cyberattack.” He adds that “there is some vulnerability to the power grid and industrial sector, but it’s not a major threat right now. The major threat is espionage and stealing secrets.”

“The way cybersecurity works is the way security works in the real world,” Bejtlich says. “It’s based on fast detection and response. It’s hard to stop someone from breaking into your house, but you can call the police and kick them out.” He adds that “defense contractors also learn from their experiences, and the ones who are making the news more tend to do the best job of protecting information that I’ve seen.” 

Grady makes the case that many of the cybersecurity concerns are overblown, and are instead, simply a good way for the defense industry to squeeze more money out of taxpayers. “This isn’t some kind of new horror. Cyberattacks will become worrisome when someone figures out how to use a copy of Linux to blow up something,” he tells Mother Jones. “The motives of defense contractors are pretty obvious, aren’t they?” he adds. “The war on terror is all but over, but cybersecurity could mean anything and everything. Where there’s fear, there’s a lot of money to be made.” 

What is the Obama administration doing? Last week, Obama issued an executive order on cybersecurity with the aim of protecting US critical infrastructure from hackers, despite pushback from conservatives and big business. The order requests that companies participate in a voluntary information-sharing program so the government can help them stop attacks. “It’s not clear that the executive order is going to make it better,” Segal says. According to Bejtlich, the administration “is doing as much as it can with the order, but now the focus needs to shift to the House and the Senate.”

Who else is China attacking? Wait, are we attacking anyone? Check out this amazing chart by Foreign Affairs, showing the number of cyber attacks, and by whom, from 2001 to 2011 (click link for the full chart): 

Foreign Affairs (Sam Pepple / Sample Cartography)

 


Politics | Mother Jones


Chinese Cyberwarfare, Explained

Monday, February 18, 2013

Is China part of the New World Order?

By Anthony Migchels
Real Currencies
February 18, 2013

ZhaoLagarde

Money Power banksters Zhao Xiaochuan and Lagarde preparing World Currency

To many it is unclear whether China is incorporated in the New World Order or a real competitor to Anglo-American Imperialism. 

However, there are a number of clear indicators that leave little doubt that the Money Power has co-opted the leadership of the Land of the Dragon a long time ago.

By Anthony Migchels for Henry Makow, Real Currencies, and translated for Argusoog.

History shows that the Money Power has several tools at its disposal to motivate peoples in the right direction. Their fingerprints are all over China.

The Chinese people obviously are not interested in a ‘New World Order’ or losing sovereignty. China is a world upon itself.

Its immense size, enormous population, ancient culture, so alien to that of the rest of the world, leaves it with more than enough to worry about, without being too interested in the rest of the world.

In fact: in the Age of Discovery, Chinese ships were ahead of the Europeans but they were called back by the Emperor: he simply could not handle a wider span of control. Most great nations are rather self-centered, but none so like China.

On the other hand: with all this comes a sense of uniqueness and entitlement and perhaps they can be cajoled by their ‘rightful’ place at the table?

Here is an excellent analysis of the power brokers in China. It opens with the obvious statement that Marxism is a Money Power operation and that Mao therefore did their bidding.

He was apparently educated at Yale’s department in China. Yale’s Skull and Bones were very active in Asia and Mao was probably a member. Most American diplomats sent to him were so too.

According to the article, the triads, China’s enigmatic maffia style secret societies, were built up by Masons to combat the Qing dynasty that ruled China until the 19th century and among others resisted the Opium the British needed to sell to China because they had nothing else to offer in exchange for its vast riches.

The membership list of the Trilateral Commission, the Rockefeller confab similar to the Atlantic Bilderbergers, is littered with Chinese names.

Another vital issue is China’s money supply: just like everywhere else, money is created by banks. A Yuan is an interest-bearing debt to a bank. China has a Public Banking sector. This in itself is in an interesting fact and should actually give us pause as to the nature of Public Banking and how it could serve the Money Power. The Emperors printed debt-free cash.

The Chinese are moving to back the Yuan by Gold, clearly promoting the Money Power’s nascent Gold Standard. Meanwhile, its Central Bank President, Zhao Xiaochuan, who is a member of the Group of 30, the Rockefeller sponsored group of leading Central Bankers and academics, is calling for World Currency. As we have seen, opposition against the dollar is not the same thing as opposition against the Money Power.

China is a loyal member of all the international governance organizations.

Furthermore, over the last decades the Money Power has migrated a substantial part of its manufacturing base from Europe and particularly the US to China. Can there be any doubt that they would be very, very sure that that crucial strategic asset would be absolutely safe there?

China’s rise and its implications

The build up of China must be seen in the light of the decades old program of the deindustrialization of the West, particularly America. What has been given to China, was taken elsewhere.

Also, this build up is actually a typical M.O.: think of how US technology and money built up the USSR to create a credible ‘threat’ in the Cold War. Saddam Hussein is another example: he was made strong to be taken down later as part of the strategy to conquer the Middle East. Or Iran, which is bolstered by often Western/Israeli technology that is transferred via China.

China’s rise comes with many dangers. Chinese nationalism is primitive and easily inflamed. Beijing is under incredible pressure from many internal dynamics and happily uses external ‘foes’ to export these pressures.

The latest rows with Japan over some trivial islands are a case in point.

Just like the Money Power directed the Orchestra of Europe during the 19th century, it is now directing the Orchestra of a Multi Polar World.

We know how it all ended in Europe: tightly knit alliances facing each other with ever more paranoia, unable to extricate themselves from the trap. One assassination was enough to light the fuse.

The same can be seen today, with NATO facing the Shanghai Cooperation Organization of Russia and China, with Pakistan and Iran as close associates.

Conclusion

China is being built up in a very typical fashion. All the pointers that we have come to recognize are there: usurious control of the money supply, Marxism, Capitalism, ‘secret’ societies, China towing the internationalist line.

The US Empire is not the Money Power and China’s rise and opposition against the US fits in nicely with what we have come to expect from the Money Power’s proxies working towards managed conflict and World Government.

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Is China part of the New World Order?

Saturday, February 16, 2013

2012 Export Growth by Country; China and US at Top of List; World Trade Slowdown; Rebalancing at Glacial Pace

Inquiring minds are looking at charts from the New York Times that show U.S. Trade in 2012 Outpaced Many Other Countries.

In 2012, United States exports of goods rose 4.5 percent from 2011, a faster rate of growth than that of 10 other major countries but well below the growth rate of Chinese exports. American imports rose 3 percent, but the trade deficit in goods was virtually unchanged. In six of the last seven years, the growth in American exports outpaced that of imports. The United States gained in exports despite declines in trade with some major European trading partners.

Global Export Growth

Export Growth Perspective

A little perspective helps as the trade deficit chart from the New York Times shows.


The US had a trade deficit over $ 700 billion in 2011 and 2012. That is down from $ 800 Billion+ between 2006 and 2008 but it is certainly noting to brag about.

World Trade Slowdown

Please consider In World Trade Data, Signs of a Slowdown, a related article by New York Times columnist Floyd Norris.

WORLD trade slowed last year, as major countries like Japan and Germany shipped exports that were worth less than those in 2011. The United States bucked the trend to some extent, but the 4.5 percent increase in exports was far smaller than the 15.8 percent jump in 2011.

Import totals can provide an indication of economic woes, as declining incomes cause consumers to buy less, including fewer items from abroad. Imports fell in Germany, France and particularly Italy. This week, the European Union reported that the euro zone economy declined in the fourth quarter — the third consecutive fall. Germany’s economy, which had been growing slowly, also shrank.

Exports plunged in all countries during the crisis, but the trends since then have varied. German exports in 2012 were 3 percent lower than in 2008, while French exports were off almost 8 percent. Japanese and British exports were about 2 percent higher. The United States, by contrast, reported exports of goods in 2012 that were up 20 percent from 2008, and Brazilian exports were 23 percent higher.

Those gains pale next to those of developing Asian economies. South Korean exports in 2012 were 30 percent higher than in 2008, while China bolstered its shipments by 43 percent. Indian exports were 50 percent higher.

Rebalancing at Glacial Pace

To the extent there is any global rebalancing (if at all), the pace is certainly glacial. In regards to Europe in particular, I see no evidence at all. For details, please see …

Mike “Mish” Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com

Mish’s Global Economic Trend Analysis


2012 Export Growth by Country; China and US at Top of List; World Trade Slowdown; Rebalancing at Glacial Pace

Tuesday, February 12, 2013

"US strikes China nuclear match in Asia-Pacific powderkeg"


The right to a preemptive nuclear strike against China is now part of US law – thanks to the National Defense Authorization Act. The Pentagon’s also ordered a thorough review of when, and how, America could strike at the network of tunnels believed to hold Beijing’s atomic arsenals. Editor of a Japan-based news website James Corbett suggests ulterior motives in this decision of US government. RT LIVE rt.com Subscribe to RT! www.youtube.com Like us on Facebook www.facebook.com Follow us on Twitter twitter.com Follow us on Google+ plus.google.com RT (Russia Today) is a global news network broadcasting from Moscow and Washington studios. RT is the first news channel to break the 500 million YouTube views benchmark.


Julian Assange is no stranger to controversy and this time the whistleblower is making headlines for a different reason. Australia has confirmed that the WikiLeaks co-founder is running for office. Assange has made a name for himself for exposing government secrets, but now he seeks a senate seat as a member of the WikiLeaks Party. So does candidate Assange have a fighting chance to infiltrate the political world? Jay Leiderman a lawyer for Leiderman Devine LLP gives us his take on the matter. Find RT America in your area: rt.com Or watch us online: rt.com Like us on Facebook www.facebook.com Follow us on Twitter twitter.com
Video Rating: 4 / 5


"US strikes China nuclear match in Asia-Pacific powderkeg"

"US strikes China nuclear match in Asia-Pacific powderkeg"


The right to a preemptive nuclear strike against China is now part of US law – thanks to the National Defense Authorization Act. The Pentagon’s also ordered a thorough review of when, and how, America could strike at the network of tunnels believed to hold Beijing’s atomic arsenals. Editor of a Japan-based news website James Corbett suggests ulterior motives in this decision of US government. RT LIVE rt.com Subscribe to RT! www.youtube.com Like us on Facebook www.facebook.com Follow us on Twitter twitter.com Follow us on Google+ plus.google.com RT (Russia Today) is a global news network broadcasting from Moscow and Washington studios. RT is the first news channel to break the 500 million YouTube views benchmark.
Video Rating: 4 / 5


Julian Assange is no stranger to controversy and this time the whistleblower is making headlines for a different reason. Australia has confirmed that the WikiLeaks co-founder is running for office. Assange has made a name for himself for exposing government secrets, but now he seeks a senate seat as a member of the WikiLeaks Party. So does candidate Assange have a fighting chance to infiltrate the political world? Jay Leiderman a lawyer for Leiderman Devine LLP gives us his take on the matter. Find RT America in your area: rt.com Or watch us online: rt.com Like us on Facebook www.facebook.com Follow us on Twitter twitter.com


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